Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 77.2%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 75.4%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 74.3%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Sillinger
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Sillinger
Gourde
Last 7: Sillinger 1-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Sillinger
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Sillinger
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Sillinger
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (639)
49.1% (847)
-4.5%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
79.5% (44)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
39.5% (81)
-21.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Sillinger is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Sillinger shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Gourde
Home
45.5% (365)
50.1% (491)
Away
42.9% (331)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Sillinger
Gourde
P1
42.5%
54.7%
P2
43.9%
45.0%
P3
46.3%
49.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |