Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Gourde 48.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 56.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 57.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Sillinger
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Sillinger
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
48.0% (914)
-0.6%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
54.2% (48)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
43.9% (123)
-7.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Gourde
Home
45.9% (488)
50.2% (512)
Away
46.7% (484)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Sillinger
Gourde
P1
45.0%
50.0%
P2
44.5%
45.3%
P3
49.5%
48.6%
OT
45.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |