Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 45.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 64.2%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 53.4%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 62.4%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Sillinger
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Sillinger
Gourde
Last 10: Sillinger 4-6 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Sillinger
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Sillinger
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sillinger
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (2,801)
48.4% (4,954)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (180)
57.4% (376)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (225)
39.9% (554)
-3.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Sillinger is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,097).
Sillinger shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Gourde
Home
46.5% (1,620)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
44.8% (1,586)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Sillinger
Gourde
P1
45.6%
49.9%
P2
45.5%
47.4%
P3
45.8%
47.5%
OT
47.8%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
45.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |