Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.3% vs Tavares 57.7% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.1%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 62.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 75.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Blackwell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Blackwell
Tavares
Last 5: Blackwell 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Blackwell
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
2
0
Blackwell
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (184)
57.7% (998)
-9.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.5% (271)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (121)
56.4% (39)
-6.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Blackwell shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Tavares
Home
41.7% (151)
59.7% (610)
Away
56.1% (157)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Blackwell
Tavares
P1
46.5%
57.2%
P2
52.4%
58.5%
P3
48.5%
59.4%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
49.0%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |