Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.7% vs Tavares 57.2% (-15.2%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.1%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 76.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Blackwell
Tavares
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (172)
58.0% (914)
-9.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
57.0% (235)
-57.0%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (82)
57.9% (19)
-26.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Blackwell is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Blackwell shoots right. Tavares is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Tavares
Home
43.8% (144)
57.8% (614)
Away
41.1% (112)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Blackwell
Tavares
P1
45.3%
58.0%
P2
36.1%
56.9%
P3
46.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%