Colin Blackwell vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Blackwell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.8%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 67.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Blackwell
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Blackwell
Tavares
Last 7: Blackwell 4-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Blackwell
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
3
0
Blackwell
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (698)
54.0% (16,108)
-4.9%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
56.5% (4,283)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (260)
50.6% (620)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Blackwell shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Tavares
Home
45.8% (480)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
49.0% (516)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Blackwell
Tavares
P1
47.1%
55.0%
P2
47.7%
54.1%
P3
47.6%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |