Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Blackwell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 49.3% vs Donato 45.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 79.1%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 85.9%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 56.1%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Blackwell
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Blackwell
Donato
Last 6: Blackwell 6-0 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
5
0
Blackwell
Donato
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (184)
43.5% (400)
+4.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
48.7% (119)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (121)
33.3% (6)
+16.3%
On power play, Blackwell has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Blackwell shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Donato
Home
41.7% (151)
50.2% (279)
Away
56.1% (157)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Blackwell
Donato
P1
46.5%
44.6%
P2
52.4%
46.6%
P3
48.5%
42.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
49.0%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |