Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Blackwell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Donato 44.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Blackwell leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 65.7%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 86.3%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 65.7%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Blackwell
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Blackwell
Donato
Last 10: Blackwell 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Blackwell
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
5
0
Blackwell
Donato
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Blackwell
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (698)
44.2% (1,179)
+4.9%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
46.3% (246)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (260)
36.4% (11)
+4.4%
On power play, Blackwell has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Blackwell shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Donato
Home
45.8% (480)
47.2% (743)
Away
49.0% (516)
41.6% (693)
By Period
Blackwell
Donato
P1
47.1%
43.4%
P2
47.7%
45.1%
P3
47.6%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.5%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |