Colin Blackwell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 76.2%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 76.9%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 60.9%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (123)
47.6% (189)
-1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
100.0% (2)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (66)
29.4% (17)
+3.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Blackwell is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Blackwell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
42.0% (100)
48.5% (132)
Away
40.7% (91)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.5%
51.4%
P2
31.3%
41.3%
P3
44.1%
48.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
41.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%