Colin Blackwell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 73.6%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 60.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.7%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Blackwell 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (698)
44.9% (8,756)
+4.2%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
50.7% (839)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (260)
37.9% (879)
+2.9%
On power play, Blackwell has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Blackwell is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Blackwell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.8% (480)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
49.0% (516)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.1%
45.1%
P2
47.7%
43.9%
P3
47.6%
45.3%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |