Colin Blackwell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Colin Blackwell holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Blackwell wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 47.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 75.4%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 58.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Blackwell 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (649)
44.9% (8,714)
+3.9%
Power Play
63.2% (38)
50.3% (829)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (244)
37.8% (875)
+4.0%
On power play, Blackwell has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Blackwell is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Blackwell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,625).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
45.6% (436)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
49.3% (495)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.0%
45.1%
P2
47.4%
43.8%
P3
47.4%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▲
42.0%
47.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colin Blackwell |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |