Colin Blackwell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Blackwell wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 79.2%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 77.7%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 62.6%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (172)
47.6% (231)
+0.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
83.3% (12)
-83.3%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (82)
33.3% (21)
-1.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Blackwell is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Blackwell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
43.8% (144)
51.2% (164)
Away
41.1% (112)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.3%
50.0%
P2
36.1%
46.2%
P3
46.0%
49.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%