Colin Blackwell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.5%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Blackwell 49.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 69.9%
Defensive zone Blackwell 73.8%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 60.1%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 4 (6 meetings)
2
4
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Blackwell 2-4 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Blackwell Nugent-Hopkins
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (184)
50.3% (479)
-1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
50.0% (28)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (121)
30.0% (50)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Blackwell has a +19.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Blackwell is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Blackwell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
41.7% (151)
48.9% (270)
Away
56.1% (157)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Blackwell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.5%
48.7%
P2
52.4%
50.0%
P3
48.5%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
52.3%
43.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%
42.0%
49.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%
46.5%
48.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 26, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Colin Blackwell
Mar 26, 2025 1 10:47 Defensive Colin Blackwell
Oct 19, 2024 2 12:05 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024 2 09:07 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024 2 02:37 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 19, 2024 1 12:45 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins