Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sissons wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.7% vs Ryan 57.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 58.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 71.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 60.2%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Sissons
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sissons
Ryan
Last 8: Sissons 2-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
4
Sissons
Ryan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sissons
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (569)
59.1% (594)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.2% (72)
49.1% (55)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (152)
57.9% (107)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Sissons is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Sissons shoots right. Ryan is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Sissons
Ryan
Home
54.4% (419)
57.0% (398)
Away
51.6% (374)
59.5% (358)
By Period
Sissons
Ryan
P1
51.6%
56.2%
P2
55.4%
56.9%
P3
52.3%
61.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:09 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |