Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs Ryan 57.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 60.9%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Sissons
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Sissons
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Sissons
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
61.4% (220)
-4.6%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
100.0% (1)
-69.6%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
51.7% (29)
+0.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +69.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Sissons is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Sissons shoots right. Ryan is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Sissons
Ryan
Home
54.8% (301)
64.2% (137)
Away
54.8% (323)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Sissons
Ryan
P1
53.0%
58.9%
P2
49.3%
62.8%
P3
61.4%
59.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |