Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Ryan 54.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 63.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 58.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.5%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Sissons
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sissons
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Sissons
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
60.8% (263)
-6.2%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
100.0% (1)
-44.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
46.2% (145)
-1.8%
On power play, Ryan has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Sissons is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Sissons shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Sissons
Ryan
Home
51.5% (575)
56.7% (201)
Away
53.6% (601)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Sissons
Ryan
P1
53.0%
56.7%
P2
52.4%
56.8%
P3
52.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |