Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 55.9%). Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs Ryan 54.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 59.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 51.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 59.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Sissons
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sissons
Ryan
Last 5: Sissons 1-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
3
Sissons
Ryan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Sissons
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
60.2% (387)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
28.6% (7)
+28.2%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
43.2% (118)
+8.5%
On power play, Sissons has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Sissons is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Sissons shoots right. Ryan is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Sissons
Ryan
Home
55.9% (680)
56.7% (254)
Away
55.4% (612)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Sissons
Ryan
P1
54.2%
56.9%
P2
55.0%
51.7%
P3
58.4%
59.2%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |