Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 67.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 93.8%
Neutral zone
Sissons 72.7%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Sissons
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Sissons
Pavelski
Last 8: Sissons 6-2 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Sissons
Pavelski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
6
0
Sissons
Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Sissons
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
52.5% (570)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
54.5% (145)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
44.4% (36)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Sissons is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Sissons shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Sissons
Pavelski
Home
55.9% (680)
55.0% (391)
Away
55.4% (612)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Sissons
Pavelski
P1
54.2%
50.8%
P2
55.0%
55.0%
P3
58.4%
52.0%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 24, 2022 | OT | 01:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |