Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.4%). Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 80.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 74.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Sissons
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Sissons
Pavelski
Last 10: Sissons 2-8 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
3
Sissons
Pavelski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sissons
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
6
Sissons
Pavelski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
52.3% (560)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
57.5% (113)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
62.5% (16)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Sissons is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Sissons shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Sissons
Pavelski
Home
54.8% (569)
54.2% (360)
Away
52.1% (539)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Sissons
Pavelski
P1
56.1%
54.5%
P2
49.6%
56.7%
P3
54.8%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |