Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 63.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 73.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Sissons
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Sissons
Pavelski
Last 7: Sissons 4-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sissons
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
51.5% (594)
+3.1%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
51.7% (87)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
28.6% (14)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Sissons is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Sissons shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Sissons
Pavelski
Home
51.5% (575)
53.1% (339)
Away
53.6% (601)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Sissons
Pavelski
P1
53.0%
53.8%
P2
52.4%
47.8%
P3
52.0%
50.2%
OT
75.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |