Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Sissons wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs Tavares 59.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 81.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Sissons
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Sissons
Tavares
Last 10: Sissons 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Sissons
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
6
1
Sissons
Tavares
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
60.9% (1,043)
-3.9%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
60.4% (278)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
47.6% (21)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sissons is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Sissons shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Sissons
Tavares
Home
55.9% (680)
63.5% (684)
Away
55.4% (612)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Sissons
Tavares
P1
54.2%
60.3%
P2
55.0%
60.4%
P3
58.4%
60.1%
OT
25.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |