Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Tavares 57.7% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.3%
Defensive zone
Sissons 81.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Sissons
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Sissons
Tavares
Last 9: Sissons 5-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Sissons
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
5
0
Sissons
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
57.5% (914)
-0.4%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
60.5% (309)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
59.1% (22)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Sissons
Tavares
Home
54.8% (569)
61.0% (661)
Away
52.1% (539)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Sissons
Tavares
P1
56.1%
58.6%
P2
49.6%
57.8%
P3
54.8%
58.4%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |