Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.4%). Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 24 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 33-26 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 82.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Sissons
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
26
(59 meetings)
33
26
Sissons
Tavares
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
15
Sissons
Tavares
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
21
3
Sissons
Tavares
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
8
Sissons
Tavares
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
54.0% (16,108)
+1.4%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
56.5% (4,283)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
50.6% (620)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,960).
Sissons shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Sissons
Tavares
Home
54.1% (4,241)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Sissons
Tavares
P1
53.8%
55.0%
P2
53.2%
54.1%
P3
54.7%
54.1%
OT
49.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 17:15 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |