Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.7%). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs Paul 53.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 72.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 74.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 53.5%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Sissons
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sissons
Paul
Last 8: Sissons 5-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sissons
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
53.8% (753)
+3.3%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
58.9% (90)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
47.4% (78)
-1.0%
On power play, Paul has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Sissons
Paul
Home
54.8% (569)
54.2% (450)
Away
52.1% (539)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Sissons
Paul
P1
56.1%
58.2%
P2
49.6%
50.6%
P3
54.8%
52.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |