Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs Paul 52.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 22-14 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 53.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 86.3%
Neutral zone
Sissons 67.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Sissons
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
14
(36 meetings)
22
14
Sissons
Paul
Last 10: Sissons 8-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
10
7
Sissons
Paul
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
6
3
Sissons
Paul
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
6
4
Sissons
Paul
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
52.5% (3,796)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
56.5% (480)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
46.7% (574)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,960).
Sissons shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Sissons
Paul
Home
54.1% (4,241)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Sissons
Paul
P1
53.8%
53.9%
P2
53.2%
51.0%
P3
54.7%
52.0%
OT
49.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |