Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Paul 53.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 75.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 68.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Sissons
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Sissons
Paul
Last 10: Sissons 3-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
5
Sissons
Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
2
Sissons
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
53.1% (710)
+1.5%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
57.3% (199)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
58.0% (69)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Sissons is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Sissons shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Sissons
Paul
Home
51.5% (575)
56.0% (466)
Away
53.6% (601)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Sissons
Paul
P1
53.0%
57.2%
P2
52.4%
54.9%
P3
52.0%
51.5%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |