Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.7% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.1%
Defensive zone
Sissons 82.6%
Neutral zone
Sissons 62.6%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Sissons
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Sissons
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sissons 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
10
Sissons
O'Reilly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
3
2
Sissons
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (569)
57.1% (1,367)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.2% (72)
59.4% (286)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (152)
52.5% (257)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sissons is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Sissons shoots right. O'Reilly is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Sissons
O'Reilly
Home
54.4% (419)
59.2% (936)
Away
51.6% (374)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Sissons
O'Reilly
P1
51.6%
57.3%
P2
55.4%
57.5%
P3
52.3%
55.0%
OT
33.3%
71.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 13:46 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |