Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sissons wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.2% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.0%
Defensive zone
Sissons 66.7%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Sissons
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sissons
O'Reilly
Last 9: Sissons 3-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Sissons
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Sissons
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Sissons
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (713)
56.1% (690)
+1.0%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
64.6% (96)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (351)
45.9% (109)
+0.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sissons is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Sissons shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Sissons
O'Reilly
Home
54.8% (569)
58.3% (408)
Away
52.1% (539)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Sissons
O'Reilly
P1
56.1%
57.7%
P2
49.6%
54.8%
P3
54.8%
55.2%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |