Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sissons on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Sissons wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.2% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Sissons leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.5%
Defensive zone
Sissons 70.0%
Neutral zone
Sissons 52.8%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Sissons
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
13
(29 meetings)
16
13
Sissons
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sissons 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
5
Sissons
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
6
5
Sissons
O'Reilly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
7
3
Sissons
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (923)
56.6% (1,064)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
60.4% (260)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (325)
54.0% (261)
-2.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sissons is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (863).
Sissons shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Sissons
O'Reilly
Home
55.9% (680)
54.9% (801)
Away
55.4% (612)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Sissons
O'Reilly
P1
54.2%
58.0%
P2
55.0%
56.7%
P3
58.4%
55.4%
OT
25.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
55.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |