Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Sissons wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.5% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 80.9%
Defensive zone
Sissons 74.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Sissons
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Sissons
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Sissons
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
1
Sissons
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Sissons
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
55.4% (826)
+1.6%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
57.9% (221)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (118)
50.4% (129)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Sissons has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sissons is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Sissons shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Sissons
O'Reilly
Home
52.9% (263)
55.8% (579)
Away
59.7% (300)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Sissons
O'Reilly
P1
56.3%
57.7%
P2
57.8%
54.8%
P3
55.4%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
56.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |