Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 62.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.3% vs Carrick 53.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 50.9%
Defensive zone
Sissons 53.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.5%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Sissons
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Sissons
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
54.9% (428)
+2.1%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
66.7% (3)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (115)
50.0% (50)
+3.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sissons is 62.3% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Sissons shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Sissons
Carrick
Home
52.9% (263)
58.2% (225)
Away
59.3% (297)
51.2% (256)
By Period
Sissons
Carrick
P1
55.8%
55.2%
P2
57.6%
52.8%
P3
55.4%
55.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▲
58.5%
56.3%
Carrick
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |