Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.2%). Sissons wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 54.1% vs Carrick 53.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 62.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 50.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Sissons
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sissons
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Sissons
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (454)
53.8% (654)
+3.0%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
0.0% (2)
+30.4%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (147)
63.9% (36)
-11.5%
On power play, Sissons has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sissons is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Sissons shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Sissons
Carrick
Home
54.8% (301)
50.0% (328)
Away
54.8% (323)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Sissons
Carrick
P1
53.0%
56.7%
P2
49.3%
51.1%
P3
61.4%
54.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
54.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |