Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Sissons wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 53.8% vs Carrick 52.1% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Sissons 53.7%
Defensive zone
Sissons 57.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 51.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Sissons
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Sissons
Carrick
Last 10: Sissons 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Sissons
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
5
1
Sissons
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (6,070)
52.1% (2,513)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.4% (455)
61.3% (75)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,889)
50.7% (430)
-2.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sissons is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,453).
Sissons shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Sissons
Carrick
Home
54.1% (4,241)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
53.7% (4,173)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Sissons
Carrick
P1
53.8%
51.8%
P2
53.2%
52.2%
P3
54.7%
52.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
53.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |