Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.4% vs Carrick 53.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 54.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 57.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.1%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Sissons
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Sissons
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (829)
53.9% (521)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
57.1% (35)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (248)
51.5% (229)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Sissons is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Sissons shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Sissons
Carrick
Home
51.5% (575)
52.7% (408)
Away
53.6% (601)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Sissons
Carrick
P1
53.0%
51.4%
P2
52.4%
56.6%
P3
52.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▬
59.0%
52.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |