Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.8% vs Bedard 46.9% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 60.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 88.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Lowry
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Bedard
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Bedard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Bedard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Bedard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (660)
44.4% (437)
+11.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
71.4% (28)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
53.8% (13)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Lowry is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Lowry shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bedard
Home
54.5% (402)
51.4% (208)
Away
54.1% (351)
42.2% (270)
By Period
Lowry
Bedard
P1
52.4%
40.7%
P2
56.3%
48.1%
P3
54.7%
48.5%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
54.0%▼
56.0%
54.3%
Bedard
48.0%▲
43.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |