Scouting Report
Connor Brown holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Brown 47.5% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 50.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 58.9%
Neutral zone
Bedard 52.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Bedard
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
33.3% (24)
+5.6%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
75.0% (4)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
46.2% (13)
-21.2%
On power play, Brown has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Bedard is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bedard shoots right. Brown is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Bedard
Brown
Home
40.2% (246)
37.5% (8)
Away
37.8% (286)
42.4% (33)
By Period
Bedard
Brown
P1
39.9%
26.7%
P2
38.5%
46.7%
P3
39.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
41.5%