Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Brown 40.1% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 52.6%
Defensive zone
Bedard 51.5%
Neutral zone
Brown 51.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Bedard
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
38.7% (313)
+1.4%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
36.8% (19)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
37.8% (217)
+12.2%
On power play, Bedard has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Bedard is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Bedard shoots right. Brown is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Bedard
Brown
Home
43.3% (785)
41.5% (246)
Away
38.5% (896)
35.6% (303)
By Period
Bedard
Brown
P1
39.0%
35.3%
P2
40.7%
40.6%
P3
42.6%
38.6%
OT
42.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.3%