Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Brown 45.8% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Brown 52.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 65.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 51.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Bedard
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
35.7% (28)
+2.3%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
0.0% (1)
+38.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
40.0% (15)
+17.1%
On power play, Bedard has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Bedard is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Bedard shoots right. Brown is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Bedard
Brown
Home
40.5% (316)
47.8% (23)
Away
36.2% (340)
23.8% (21)
By Period
Bedard
Brown
P1
37.2%
36.8%
P2
36.9%
46.7%
P3
40.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
36.4%