Connor Bedard vs Elias Pettersson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Pettersson 50.7% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 53.8%
Defensive zone
Bedard 57.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 55.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Bedard
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bedard
Pettersson
Last 5: Bedard 2-3 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
1
Bedard
Pettersson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
2
Bedard
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Pettersson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
50.4% (698)
-11.5%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
63.2% (57)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
40.9% (44)
-15.9%
On power play, Pettersson has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Bedard
Pettersson
Home
40.2% (246)
50.7% (420)
Away
37.8% (286)
50.9% (379)
By Period
Bedard
Pettersson
P1
39.9%
48.0%
P2
38.5%
47.6%
P3
39.0%
57.5%
OT
25.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |