Connor Bedard vs Elias Pettersson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Pettersson 47.7% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 86.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 80.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 75.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Bedard
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Bedard
Pettersson
Last 10: Bedard 2-8 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
4
Bedard
Pettersson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
3
Bedard
Pettersson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
3
Bedard
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
46.3% (790)
-8.3%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
53.1% (147)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
51.9% (27)
+5.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Bedard
Pettersson
Home
40.5% (316)
48.1% (489)
Away
36.2% (340)
46.9% (475)
By Period
Bedard
Pettersson
P1
37.2%
47.4%
P2
36.9%
48.3%
P3
40.7%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:48 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |