Connor Bedard vs Elias Pettersson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Pettersson 46.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 21-9 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 83.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 80.5%
Neutral zone
Bedard 72.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Bedard
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
21
(30 meetings)
9
21
Bedard
Pettersson
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
8
Bedard
Pettersson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
6
Bedard
Pettersson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
7
Bedard
Pettersson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
45.3% (4,569)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
54.6% (540)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
38.7% (238)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Home / Away
Bedard
Pettersson
Home
43.3% (785)
46.8% (2,734)
Away
38.5% (896)
45.1% (2,613)
By Period
Bedard
Pettersson
P1
39.0%
44.7%
P2
40.7%
46.0%
P3
42.6%
47.4%
OT
42.9%
39.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |