Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Staal 54.2% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 51.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Bedard
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bedard
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Bedard
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
57.0% (1,017)
-19.0%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
57.7% (26)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
45.1% (286)
+12.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Bedard
Staal
Home
40.5% (316)
54.3% (667)
Away
36.2% (340)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Bedard
Staal
P1
37.2%
56.2%
P2
36.9%
57.0%
P3
40.7%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
43.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |