Connor Bedard vs Jordan Staal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Bedard 46.7% vs Staal 54.6% (-8.9%)
Offensive zone Bedard 53.3%
Defensive zone Staal 61.1%
Neutral zone Staal 56.7%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Bedard Staal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Bedard
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
56.1% (955)
-11.9%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
66.9% (142)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
43.0% (242)
+10.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +11.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Staal shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Bedard
Staal
Home
50.7% (223)
55.4% (663)
Away
42.2% (270)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Bedard
Staal
P1
40.8%
55.1%
P2
48.2%
54.7%
P3
48.0%
53.9%
OT
57.1%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
57.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%
42.5%
46.0%
Staal
46.0%
51.0%
54.9%