Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.9% vs 38.2%). Bedard wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Palmieri shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Palmieri 47.0% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 50.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 62.6%
Neutral zone
Palmieri 50.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Bedard
Palmieri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Palmieri
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
39.4% (33)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palmieri shoots right. Bedard is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bedard shoots right. Palmieri is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Bedard
Palmieri
Home
40.2% (246)
43.8% (16)
Away
37.8% (286)
33.3% (18)
By Period
Bedard
Palmieri
P1
39.9%
20.0%
P2
38.5%
54.5%
P3
39.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
38.2%