Scouting Report
Kyle Palmieri holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Palmieri shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Palmieri 47.4% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Palmieri 50.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 61.7%
Neutral zone
Bedard 50.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Bedard
Palmieri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Palmieri
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
28.6% (28)
+9.4%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
100.0% (2)
-61.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
100.0% (3)
-42.9%
On power play, Palmieri has a +61.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palmieri shoots right. Bedard is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Bedard shoots right. Palmieri is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Bedard
Palmieri
Home
40.5% (316)
50.0% (14)
Away
36.2% (340)
31.6% (19)
By Period
Bedard
Palmieri
P1
37.2%
41.7%
P2
36.9%
41.7%
P3
40.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
39.4%