Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Palmieri shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Palmieri 37.1% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Palmieri 66.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.1%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Bedard
Palmieri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Palmieri
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
32.3% (400)
+7.8%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
42.0% (50)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
57.9% (19)
-7.9%
On power play, Bedard has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palmieri shoots right. Bedard is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Bedard shoots right. Palmieri is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Bedard
Palmieri
Home
43.3% (785)
37.5% (240)
Away
38.5% (896)
31.0% (229)
By Period
Bedard
Palmieri
P1
39.0%
31.3%
P2
40.7%
38.3%
P3
42.6%
33.9%
OT
42.9%
18.2%
Final 5 min
44.9%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
34.3%