Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-18.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 63.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 59.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 50.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Bedard
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bedard
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Bedard
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
57.4% (1,010)
-18.5%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
56.2% (331)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
54.5% (110)
-29.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Bedard
Draisaitl
Home
40.2% (246)
56.4% (734)
Away
37.8% (286)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Bedard
Draisaitl
P1
39.9%
55.6%
P2
38.5%
62.1%
P3
39.0%
52.4%
OT
25.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |