Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 64.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 86.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 86.8%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Bedard
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Bedard
Draisaitl
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
4
Bedard
Draisaitl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
6
Bedard
Draisaitl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
53.7% (923)
-15.7%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
56.1% (244)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
58.6% (29)
-1.5%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Bedard
Draisaitl
Home
40.5% (316)
55.2% (636)
Away
36.2% (340)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Bedard
Draisaitl
P1
37.2%
50.8%
P2
36.9%
56.6%
P3
40.7%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
67.9%
Final 5 min
43.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | OT | 00:15 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 5, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |