Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 61.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.9%
Neutral zone
Bedard 52.8%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Bedard
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bedard
Draisaitl
Last 5: Bedard 2-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Bedard
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
55.9% (835)
-11.7%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
61.8% (228)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
50.0% (40)
+3.8%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Bedard
Draisaitl
Home
50.7% (223)
55.1% (508)
Away
42.2% (270)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Bedard
Draisaitl
P1
40.8%
55.8%
P2
48.2%
55.7%
P3
48.0%
59.0%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |