Connor Bedard vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs McCarron 52.8% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 63.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 59.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Bedard
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bedard
McCarron
Last 5: Bedard 2-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Bedard
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bedard
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
54.5% (618)
-15.6%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
42.1% (19)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
35.3% (34)
-10.3%
On even strength, McCarron has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Bedard is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bedard shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Bedard
McCarron
Home
40.2% (246)
52.2% (339)
Away
37.8% (286)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Bedard
McCarron
P1
39.9%
53.5%
P2
38.5%
50.6%
P3
39.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |