Connor Bedard vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Backlund 49.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 71.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 76.1%
Neutral zone
Bedard 76.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Bedard
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Bedard
Backlund
Last 10: Bedard 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
8
Bedard
Backlund
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
6
3
Bedard
Backlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Bedard
Backlund
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
49.7% (13,410)
-9.6%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
51.6% (1,336)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
44.0% (2,446)
+6.0%
On even strength, Backlund has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Bedard
Backlund
Home
43.3% (785)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
38.5% (896)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Bedard
Backlund
P1
39.0%
48.5%
P2
40.7%
50.3%
P3
42.6%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
44.1%
Final 5 min
44.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |